Species · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Western Meadowlark Population Trend in Arizona
Western Meadowlark in Arizona has held roughly steady: down 2% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-2%Since 1970
63Routes In State
56Years
Notable Western Meadowlark Trends in Arizona
No notable trend signals for Western Meadowlark in Arizona. See the full index history below.
Western Meadowlark Population Forecast in Arizona
If the recent trend holds, Western Meadowlark in Arizona is projected to rise about 29% by 2029 — from 2.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.6 (95% range 0.00–7.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±86.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+29%Change by 2029
3.6Projected 2029 index
0.00–7.795% range
±86.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.6 | 0.00 | 7.7 |
| 2026 | 3.6 | 0.00 | 7.7 |
| 2027 | 3.6 | 0.00 | 7.7 |
| 2028 | 3.6 | 0.00 | 7.7 |
| 2029 | 3.6 | 0.00 | 7.7 |
Western Meadowlark Survey Routes in Arizona
| Mt Trumbull | 61 | 1993 | 1974 |
| Mormon Lake | 43 | 1975 | 1968 |
| Flagstaff | 32 | 2022 | 1988 |
| Black Mesa | 28 | 1995 | 1988 |
| Skull Valley | 26 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Round Rock | 22 | 1989 | 1969 |
| Maine | 17 | 2024 | 1992 |
| House Rock | 15 | 2022 | 1973 |
| Zeniff | 14 | 1984 | 1969 |
| Toroweap | 14 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Castle Butte | 11 | 2007 | 1992 |
| Navajo Trail | 10 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Tsaile | 10 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Clay Spring | 10 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Pinetop | 9 | 2022 | 1993 |
| Peach Spring | 9 | 2021 | 1992 |
| Happy Jack | 9 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Florence | 8 | 1988 | 1988 |
| Palo Verde | 7 | 2013 | 1992 |
| Hope | 7 | 2004 | 2004 |
| Alpine | 6 | 2022 | 1992 |
| Cactus Forest | 6 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Rose Wells | 5 | 1978 | 1968 |
| Page | 4 | 2019 | 1993 |
| Greasewood | 4 | 2003 | 1993 |
Western Meadowlark Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.