Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Savannah Sparrow Population Trend in Alaska
Savannah Sparrow in Alaska has surged: up 365% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
+365%Since 1975
113Routes In State
48Years
Notable Savannah Sparrow Trends in Alaska
long arc increasecomputed index
Savannah Sparrow has surged in Alaska: up 365% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
Savannah Sparrow Population Forecast in Alaska
If the recent trend holds, Savannah Sparrow in Alaska is projected to rise about 25% by 2029 — from 9.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 12 (95% range 4.7–20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+25%Change by 2029
12Projected 2029 index
4.7–2095% range
±32.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12 | 4.5 | 19 |
| 2026 | 12 | 4.6 | 19 |
| 2027 | 12 | 4.6 | 19 |
| 2028 | 12 | 4.7 | 20 |
| 2029 | 12 | 4.7 | 20 |
Savannah Sparrow Survey Routes in Alaska
| Happy Valley | 97 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Galbraith L. | 93 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Red Dog | 81 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Toklat | 58 | 2024 | 1982 |
| St. Mary'S | 55 | 2014 | 1993 |
| Wasilla | 41 | 1983 | 1983 |
| Cold Bay (Short) | 38 | 1992 | 1984 |
| Savage | 37 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Kodiak | 36 | 1984 | 1983 |
| Nome | 35 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Cold Bay | 34 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Homer | 31 | 1982 | 1977 |
| Cape Nome | 31 | 2024 | 1993 |
| King Salmon | 27 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Goodnews Bay | 27 | 2005 | 1999 |
| Teller | 24 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Chiniak | 21 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Kodiak 2 | 21 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Togiak River | 20 | 2005 | 1999 |
| Dillingham (Short) | 17 | 1984 | 1984 |
| Monahan | 16 | 2021 | 1983 |
| Kalifonsky | 15 | 2023 | 1982 |
| Moose Pass | 14 | 1992 | 1983 |
| Maclaren | 13 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Delta | 13 | 2024 | 1995 |
Savannah Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.