Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Savannah Sparrow Population Trend in New Mexico
Savannah Sparrow in New Mexico has fallen sharply: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1992.
-66%Since 1992
10Routes In State
33Years
Notable Savannah Sparrow Trends in New Mexico
long arc declinecomputed index
Savannah Sparrow has fallen sharply in New Mexico: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1992.
Savannah Sparrow Population Forecast in New Mexico
If the recent trend holds, Savannah Sparrow in New Mexico is projected to fall about 74% by 2029 — from 0.09 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.35). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-74%Change by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3595% range
±30.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| 2026 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| 2027 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.37 |
| 2028 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.36 |
| 2029 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.35 |
Savannah Sparrow Survey Routes in New Mexico
| Angel Fire | 16 | 2002 | 1992 |
| Angel Fire 2 | 4 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Maxwell | 2 | 2003 | 1996 |
| Rosebud | 2 | 2003 | 2001 |
| Torreon | 1 | 2008 | 2008 |
| Floyd | 1 | 2011 | 1991 |
| Horse Mtn | 1 | 1969 | 1969 |
| Stinking Lk. | 1 | 1998 | 1992 |
| Sedan | 1 | 1999 | 1996 |
| Dulce | 1 | 2021 | 2000 |
Savannah Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
alaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawareidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.