BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Golden-crowned Kinglet Population Trend in New York

All statesForest birds

Golden-crowned Kinglet in New York has surged: up 478% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+478%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
47Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Golden-crowned Kinglet Trends in New YorkNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Golden-crowned Kinglet in New York. See the full index history below.

Golden-crowned Kinglet Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, Golden-crowned Kinglet in New York is projected to fall about 25% by 2030 — from 0.46 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.34 (95% range 0.00–0.75). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±202.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-25%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.34Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.7595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±202.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Golden-crowned Kinglet in New York is projected to fall about 25% by 2030 — from 0.46 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.34 (95% range 0.00–0.75). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±202.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.340.000.74
20270.340.000.74
20280.340.000.74
20290.340.000.75
20300.340.000.75

Golden-crowned Kinglet Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording Golden-crowned Kinglet in New York.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Inlet1220171979
Mcdonough720172010
Gabriels720251979
Swain 2620252012
Sabattis519831966
Phillips Cr320231970
St Regis Fls320131986
Old Forge319951971
Blue Ridge S320101969
Hope Falls319831972
Wanakena320251980
Laurens220112008
E Newark220152015
Dryden220241989
Swain220071973
Canadice L220041973
Mckeever220211975
Highmarket220251977
Newcomb220221971
Speculator220171968
North River220251986
Parishville220241997
Underwood219891971
Dannemora220061995
Balmat219951978

Golden-crowned Kinglet Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutgeorgiaidahomainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconorth-carolinaohiooregonpennsylvaniasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontwashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.