BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Golden-crowned Kinglet Population Trend in New York

All statesForest birds

Golden-crowned Kinglet in New York has surged: up 205% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+205%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
47Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Golden-crowned Kinglet Trends in New YorkNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Golden-crowned Kinglet has surged in New York: up 205% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Golden-crowned Kinglet Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, Golden-crowned Kinglet in New York is projected to rise about 188% by 2029 — from 0.12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.33 (95% range 0.00–0.74). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±326.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+188%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.33Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.7495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±326.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Golden-crowned Kinglet in New York is projected to rise about 188% by 2029 — from 0.12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.33 (95% range 0.00–0.74). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±326.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.330.000.73
20260.330.000.74
20270.330.000.74
20280.330.000.74
20290.330.000.74

Golden-crowned Kinglet Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording Golden-crowned Kinglet in New York.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Inlet1220171979
Mcdonough720172010
Sabattis519831966
North River420061986
Phillips Cr320231970
St Regis Fls320131986
Old Forge319951971
Blue Ridge S320101969
Hope Falls319831972
Swain 2220232012
Laurens220112008
E Newark220152015
Dryden220241989
Swain220071973
Canadice L220041973
Sheridan220241988
Mckeever220211975
Highmarket220231977
Newcomb220221971
Speculator220171968
Gabriels220171979
Parishville220241997
Underwood219891971
Dannemora220061995
Balmat219951978

Golden-crowned Kinglet Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutgeorgiaidahomainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconorth-carolinaohiooregonpennsylvaniasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontwashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.