Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Cinnamon Teal Population Trend in Oregon
Cinnamon Teal in Oregon has fallen sharply: down 58% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
-58%Since 1971
53Routes In State
55Years
Notable Cinnamon Teal Trends in Oregon
long arc declinecomputed index
Cinnamon Teal has fallen sharply in Oregon: down 58% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Cinnamon Teal Population Forecast in Oregon
If the recent trend holds, Cinnamon Teal in Oregon is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.37 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±105.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.395% range
±105.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 2.4 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.3 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.3 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.3 |
Cinnamon Teal Survey Routes in Oregon
| Blizzard Gap | 17 | 2023 | 1984 |
| Princeton | 14 | 1985 | 1972 |
| Warner Vally | 13 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Barnes Val | 11 | 1987 | 1971 |
| Sparta | 10 | 2001 | 1971 |
| Fish Lake | 10 | 2023 | 1972 |
| Catlow Rim | 10 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Lone Rock | 8 | 2015 | 2004 |
| Dayton | 8 | 1993 | 1991 |
| Modoc Point 2 | 6 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Adair | 6 | 2022 | 1998 |
| Silver Creek | 4 | 2004 | 1990 |
| Umatilla | 4 | 2021 | 1991 |
| Zumwalt | 3 | 2005 | 1995 |
| Willow Spg | 3 | 1971 | 1969 |
| Adrian | 3 | 1990 | 1984 |
| Bly | 3 | 2001 | 1973 |
| Albee | 2 | 2000 | 1989 |
| Bridgeport | 2 | 2004 | 1995 |
| Fandango Can | 2 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Malheur Nwr | 2 | 1998 | 1986 |
| Alvord Lake | 2 | 2006 | 2006 |
| Joseph | 2 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Eagle Rock | 2 | 1976 | 1973 |
| Svensen | 2 | 1991 | 1991 |
Cinnamon Teal Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.