Species · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Canyon Wren Population Trend in Arizona
Canyon Wren in Arizona has declined: down 25% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-25%Since 1970
45Routes In State
56Years
Notable Canyon Wren Trends in Arizona
No notable trend signals for Canyon Wren in Arizona. See the full index history below.
Canyon Wren Population Forecast in Arizona
If the recent trend holds, Canyon Wren in Arizona is projected to rise about 59% by 2029 — from 0.29 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.46 (95% range 0.00–0.97). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±182.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+59%Change by 2029
0.46Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.9795% range
±182.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.97 |
| 2026 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.97 |
| 2027 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.97 |
| 2028 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.97 |
| 2029 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.97 |
Canyon Wren Survey Routes in Arizona
| Cutter 2 | 9 | 2018 | 2015 |
| Forest Lakes | 5 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Casa Grande | 4 | 2021 | 1989 |
| Dragoon | 3 | 2009 | 1993 |
| Cutter | 3 | 2014 | 1992 |
| Cabeza Priet | 3 | 2019 | 2014 |
| Florence | 2 | 1973 | 1968 |
| Ajo | 2 | 2008 | 1968 |
| Peña Blanca | 2 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Riviera | 2 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Alamo Res. | 2 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Bartlett Res | 2 | 2023 | 1992 |
| House Rock | 1 | 1999 | 1999 |
| The Gap | 1 | 1968 | 1968 |
| Organ Pipe | 1 | 1991 | 1990 |
| Portal | 1 | 2021 | 1976 |
| Rucker | 1 | 2007 | 1995 |
| Oatman | 1 | 2014 | 1988 |
| Wikieup | 1 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Prescott | 1 | 2002 | 1986 |
| Hunt | 1 | 1986 | 1984 |
| Aztec Peak | 1 | 1978 | 1978 |
| Blue | 1 | 1991 | 1974 |
| San Simon | 1 | 2001 | 1979 |
| Patagonia | 1 | 2023 | 1968 |
Canyon Wren Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.