Species · Pennsylvania · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-billed Cuckoo Population Trend in Pennsylvania
Black-billed Cuckoo in Pennsylvania has fallen sharply: down 73% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-73%Since 1968
126Routes In State
58Years
Notable Black-billed Cuckoo Trends in Pennsylvania
long arc declinecomputed index
Black-billed Cuckoo has fallen sharply in Pennsylvania: down 73% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Black-billed Cuckoo Population Forecast in Pennsylvania
If the recent trend holds, Black-billed Cuckoo in Pennsylvania is projected to rise about 220% by 2029 — from 0.08 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.25 (95% range 0.00–0.84). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±97.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+220%Change by 2029
0.25Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.8495% range
±97.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.87 |
| 2026 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.86 |
| 2027 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.85 |
| 2028 | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.84 |
| 2029 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.84 |
Black-billed Cuckoo Survey Routes in Pennsylvania
| Big Flat | 11 | 1981 | 1975 |
| Rasselas | 10 | 2022 | 1971 |
| Betula | 8 | 2022 | 1974 |
| Starlight | 6 | 1992 | 1970 |
| Wyalusing | 5 | 2023 | 1988 |
| Sproul Sf-B | 5 | 2023 | 2005 |
| Ryde | 4 | 2005 | 1970 |
| Jeannette | 4 | 2016 | 1979 |
| Eldred | 3 | 2015 | 1988 |
| Kittanning | 3 | 2019 | 1972 |
| Peru Mills | 3 | 2008 | 1967 |
| Clearfield | 3 | 2002 | 1967 |
| Doe Run | 3 | 1991 | 1972 |
| Lovelton | 3 | 2016 | 2005 |
| Akeley | 2 | 1979 | 1966 |
| Sigel | 2 | 2021 | 1989 |
| N Washington | 2 | 2021 | 1968 |
| Rosecrans | 2 | 2023 | 1972 |
| English Ctr | 2 | 1977 | 1966 |
| Austinville | 2 | 2023 | 1970 |
| Rush | 2 | 2015 | 1970 |
| Waller | 2 | 2016 | 1981 |
| Pocono Summit | 2 | 2015 | 1968 |
| Hop Bottom | 2 | 2014 | 1967 |
| Greentown | 2 | 2022 | 1973 |
Black-billed Cuckoo Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.