Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-billed Cuckoo Population Trend in North Dakota
Black-billed Cuckoo in North Dakota has fallen sharply: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-68%Since 1969
48Routes In State
56Years
Notable Black-billed Cuckoo Trends in North Dakota
long arc declinecomputed index
Black-billed Cuckoo has fallen sharply in North Dakota: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Black-billed Cuckoo Population Forecast in North Dakota
If the recent trend holds, Black-billed Cuckoo in North Dakota is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.33 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±160.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.195% range
±160.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
Black-billed Cuckoo Survey Routes in North Dakota
| Kempton | 8 | 2012 | 1969 |
| Tobacco | 8 | 2006 | 1968 |
| Lark | 5 | 1982 | 1971 |
| Nash | 4 | 2010 | 1983 |
| Walcott | 2 | 2021 | 1967 |
| Emerado | 2 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Cooperstown | 2 | 2023 | 1970 |
| Rolla | 2 | 2002 | 1971 |
| Niles | 2 | 2000 | 1989 |
| Stanley | 2 | 2007 | 1967 |
| Zap | 2 | 1998 | 1967 |
| Roosevelt Pk | 2 | 2016 | 1987 |
| Golva | 2 | 2007 | 1979 |
| Douglas Crk | 2 | 2010 | 1982 |
| Sheyenne Lk | 2 | 2010 | 1980 |
| Turtle Mtns | 2 | 2019 | 1980 |
| Carson | 2 | 1997 | 1988 |
| Solen | 2 | 2024 | 2008 |
| Forman | 1 | 2018 | 1973 |
| Sydney | 1 | 1981 | 1967 |
| Edgeley | 1 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Lake George | 1 | 2006 | 1971 |
| Danzig | 1 | 1993 | 1991 |
| Wimbledon | 1 | 2015 | 1981 |
| Horsehead Lk | 1 | 2006 | 1980 |
Black-billed Cuckoo Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.