Species · South Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Little Blue Heron Population Trend in South Carolina
Little Blue Heron in South Carolina has collapsed: down 87% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-87%Since 1968
28Routes In State
55Years
Notable Little Blue Heron Trends in South Carolina
long arc declinecomputed index
Little Blue Heron has collapsed in South Carolina: down 87% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Little Blue Heron Population Forecast in South Carolina
If the recent trend holds, Little Blue Heron in South Carolina is projected to fall about 56% by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.69). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-56%Change by 2029
0.04Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.6995% range
±44.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.73 |
| 2026 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.72 |
| 2027 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.71 |
| 2028 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.70 |
| 2029 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.69 |
Little Blue Heron Survey Routes in South Carolina
| Johns Isle | 3 | 1975 | 1966 |
| Jamestown | 3 | 2001 | 1986 |
| Walterboro | 3 | 2017 | 1971 |
| Campobello | 3 | 2022 | 2022 |
| New Holland | 2 | 1985 | 1979 |
| Dillon | 2 | 1972 | 1972 |
| Barton Creek | 2 | 1982 | 1981 |
| Bennettsville | 2 | 2017 | 1999 |
| Pinewood | 2 | 1999 | 1998 |
| Nixville | 2 | 2006 | 2000 |
| Hardeeville | 1 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Rome | 1 | 1986 | 1967 |
| Holly Hill | 1 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Coward | 1 | 2016 | 1999 |
| Foreston | 1 | 1994 | 1966 |
| Wagener | 1 | 2009 | 1966 |
| Bishopville | 1 | 2007 | 1985 |
| Kiawah Island | 1 | 2022 | 1998 |
| Little Mtn | 1 | 1988 | 1985 |
| Plum Branch | 1 | 1985 | 1980 |
| Nixonville | 1 | 1994 | 1994 |
| New Ellenton | 1 | 2023 | 2018 |
| Green Sea | 1 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Olar | 1 | 2013 | 1998 |
| Carvers Bay | 1 | 2000 | 1998 |
Little Blue Heron Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.