Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Little Blue Heron Population Trend in Kansas
Little Blue Heron in Kansas has fallen sharply: down 64% on the route-weighted index since 1976.
-64%Since 1976
10Routes In State
38Years
Notable Little Blue Heron Trends in Kansas
long arc declinecomputed index
Little Blue Heron has fallen sharply in Kansas: down 64% on the route-weighted index since 1976.
Little Blue Heron Population Forecast in Kansas
If the recent trend holds, Little Blue Heron in Kansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.64). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±383.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2028
0.02Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.6495% range
±383.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.66 |
| 2025 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.65 |
| 2026 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.65 |
| 2027 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.64 |
| 2028 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.64 |
Little Blue Heron Survey Routes in Kansas
| Galesburg | 21 | 2006 | 1993 |
| Melrose | 1 | 1993 | 1978 |
| Wellington | 1 | 2021 | 1979 |
| Dalton | 1 | 1981 | 1971 |
| Coldwater | 1 | 2004 | 1998 |
| Berwet | 1 | 2015 | 2000 |
| Buckeye | 1 | 1992 | 1992 |
| Albert | 1 | 2021 | 1973 |
| Hanover | 1 | 2012 | 2011 |
| Hollenberg | 1 | 2023 | 1979 |
Little Blue Heron Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.