Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Little Blue Heron Population Trend in Kansas

Little Blue Heron in Kansas has fallen sharply: down 64% on the route-weighted index since 1976.

-64%Since 1976
10Routes In State
38Years

Notable Little Blue Heron Trends in Kansas

long arc declinecomputed index

Little Blue Heron has fallen sharply in Kansas: down 64% on the route-weighted index since 1976.

Little Blue Heron Population Forecast in Kansas

If the recent trend holds, Little Blue Heron in Kansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.64). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±383.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028
0.02Projected 2028 index
0.000.6495% range
±383.7%Backtest error
19712028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.040.000.66
20250.040.000.65
20260.030.000.65
20270.030.000.64
20280.020.000.64

Little Blue Heron Survey Routes in Kansas

Routes recording Little Blue Heron in Kansas.
Galesburg2120061993
Melrose119931978
Wellington120211979
Dalton119811971
Coldwater120041998
Berwet120152000
Buckeye119921992
Albert120211973
Hanover120122011
Hollenberg120231979

Little Blue Heron Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.