BirdAnalyst
Species · Idaho · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Grasshopper Sparrow Population Trend in Idaho

All statesGrassland birds

Grasshopper Sparrow in Idaho has declined: down 38% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

-38%Since 1972TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
31Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
55YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Grasshopper Sparrow Trends in IdahoNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Grasshopper Sparrow in Idaho. See the full index history below.

Grasshopper Sparrow Population Forecast in Idaho

If the recent trend holds, Grasshopper Sparrow in Idaho is projected to fall about 49% by 2030 — from 0.80 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.41 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-49%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.41Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±40.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Grasshopper Sparrow in Idaho is projected to fall about 49% by 2030 — from 0.80 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.41 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.430.001.3
20270.430.001.3
20280.420.001.3
20290.420.001.3
20300.410.001.3

Grasshopper Sparrow Survey Routes in Idaho

Routes recording Grasshopper Sparrow in Idaho.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Springfield919861974
Crane Creek920191988
Blacks Creek819691968
Daniels Res820251988
Twin Buttes620241998
Hot Spring620251996
Tractor Flat520251997
Centerville519721972
Blackft Res320082004
Lost River320252001
Circular Bu220251999
Baker220022002
Craters220041984
Cedar Hill220221992
Pasadena Val220091987
Gifford120162005
Kyle Canyon120241999
Leadore120022002
Dubois120251973
Squirrel120251991
Ririe120112011
Magic Mtn120121990
Acequia120061988
Henry119751973
Joel120161990

Grasshopper Sparrow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.