Species · Indiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Cerulean Warbler Population Trend in Indiana
Cerulean Warbler in Indiana has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-55%Since 1968
28Routes In State
57Years
Notable Cerulean Warbler Trends in Indiana
long arc declinecomputed index
Cerulean Warbler has fallen sharply in Indiana: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Cerulean Warbler Population Forecast in Indiana
If the recent trend holds, Cerulean Warbler in Indiana is projected to rise about 37% by 2029 — from 0.13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.17 (95% range 0.00–0.38). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+37%Change by 2029
0.17Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3895% range
±41.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| 2026 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| 2027 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| 2028 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| 2029 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
Cerulean Warbler Survey Routes in Indiana
| Hoosier | 3 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Indiana Dune | 2 | 2022 | 1994 |
| Middletown | 2 | 1990 | 1990 |
| Cumback | 2 | 1996 | 1966 |
| Vevay | 2 | 2001 | 1972 |
| Knox | 1 | 1990 | 1990 |
| Kewanna | 1 | 1983 | 1983 |
| Packertown | 1 | 2004 | 1968 |
| Ellis | 1 | 2009 | 1970 |
| Monticello | 1 | 1985 | 1985 |
| Galveston | 1 | 2010 | 1982 |
| Wabash | 1 | 2009 | 2007 |
| Pimento | 1 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Belmont | 1 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Spencer | 1 | 2013 | 1978 |
| Azalia | 1 | 2002 | 1982 |
| Shelbyville | 1 | 1986 | 1983 |
| Brookville | 1 | 1974 | 1974 |
| Indian Spgs | 1 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Celestine | 1 | 2000 | 1980 |
| Clear Spring | 1 | 2019 | 1981 |
| New Phila | 1 | 2001 | 1984 |
| Corydon | 1 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Scottsburg | 1 | 1983 | 1982 |
| Wallace | 1 | 2023 | 1999 |
Cerulean Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.