Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American White Pelican Population Trend in Oregon
American White Pelican in Oregon has fallen sharply: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
-66%Since 1972
24Routes In State
54Years
Notable American White Pelican Trends in Oregon
long arc declinecomputed index
American White Pelican has fallen sharply in Oregon: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
American White Pelican Population Forecast in Oregon
If the recent trend holds, American White Pelican in Oregon is projected to rise about 162% by 2029 — from 0.33 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.87 (95% range 0.00–3.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±157.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+162%Change by 2029
0.87Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.295% range
±157.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.92 | 0.00 | 3.3 |
| 2026 | 0.91 | 0.00 | 3.2 |
| 2027 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 3.2 |
| 2028 | 0.89 | 0.00 | 3.2 |
| 2029 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 3.2 |
American White Pelican Survey Routes in Oregon
| Warner Vally | 164 | 2021 | 1994 |
| Sparta | 53 | 1991 | 1991 |
| Pendleton | 52 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Malheur Nwr | 38 | 2022 | 1986 |
| Hells Canyon | 18 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Modoc Point | 12 | 2018 | 1970 |
| Merrill | 12 | 2018 | 1995 |
| Umatilla | 12 | 2023 | 1996 |
| Princeton | 11 | 1985 | 1973 |
| Modoc Point 2 | 8 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Crane | 7 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Catlow Rim | 5 | 2016 | 1996 |
| Nicolai Mtn. | 4 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Bly 2 | 4 | 2024 | 2008 |
| Barnes Val | 4 | 1984 | 1984 |
| Sheaville | 4 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Lapham Res. | 3 | 2005 | 1991 |
| Bly | 3 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Prospect | 3 | 2008 | 2008 |
| Adrian | 2 | 2008 | 2004 |
| Blizzard Gap | 2 | 2019 | 1985 |
| Fish Lake | 2 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Harney Lake | 2 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Wagontire | 1 | 1996 | 1996 |
American White Pelican Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.