Species · Montana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American White Pelican Population Trend in Montana
American White Pelican in Montana has surged: up 18× on the route-weighted index since 1971.
18×Since 1971
45Routes In State
50Years
Notable American White Pelican Trends in Montana
long arc increasecomputed index
American White Pelican has surged in Montana: up 18× on the route-weighted index since 1971.
American White Pelican Population Forecast in Montana
If the recent trend holds, American White Pelican in Montana is projected to fall about 21% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.9 (95% range 0.00–6.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-21%Change by 2029
1.9Projected 2029 index
0.00–6.395% range
±44.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.9 | 0.00 | 6.2 |
| 2026 | 1.9 | 0.00 | 6.2 |
| 2027 | 1.9 | 0.00 | 6.3 |
| 2028 | 1.9 | 0.00 | 6.3 |
| 2029 | 1.9 | 0.00 | 6.3 |
American White Pelican Survey Routes in Montana
| Two Dot | 72 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Hay Lake | 46 | 2017 | 2015 |
| Winifred | 32 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Willow Creek 2 | 26 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Harlem | 25 | 2017 | 1998 |
| Freeman Creek | 24 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Wheat Basin | 24 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Forsyth | 21 | 2006 | 2004 |
| Red Rock | 20 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Malta | 18 | 2018 | 1992 |
| Oswego | 17 | 2006 | 2003 |
| Hebgen Lake | 13 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Beaverhead | 11 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Wise River | 11 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Flatwillow 2 | 10 | 2022 | 2010 |
| Ester Lake | 10 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Savage | 9 | 2013 | 1990 |
| East Glacier Park | 7 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Clyde Park | 6 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Virgelle | 4 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Cleveland | 4 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Augusta | 4 | 2024 | 1976 |
| Jordan | 4 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Circle | 4 | 2018 | 1999 |
| Shawmut | 4 | 2024 | 2024 |
American White Pelican Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.