Species · Iowa · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Vesper Sparrow Population Trend in Iowa
Vesper Sparrow in Iowa has fallen sharply: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-65%Since 1969
38Routes In State
57Years
Notable Vesper Sparrow Trends in Iowa
long arc declinecomputed index
Vesper Sparrow has fallen sharply in Iowa: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Vesper Sparrow Population Forecast in Iowa
If the recent trend holds, Vesper Sparrow in Iowa is projected to rise about 16% by 2029 — from 5.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.5 (95% range 0.00–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+16%Change by 2029
6.5Projected 2029 index
0.00–1695% range
±33.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7.3 | 0.00 | 17 |
| 2026 | 7.1 | 0.00 | 17 |
| 2027 | 6.9 | 0.00 | 17 |
| 2028 | 6.7 | 0.00 | 16 |
| 2029 | 6.5 | 0.00 | 16 |
Vesper Sparrow Survey Routes in Iowa
| Cedar Valley | 46 | 1997 | 1967 |
| Mccallsburg | 35 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Prairieburg | 27 | 2000 | 1967 |
| Kanawha | 24 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Titonka | 18 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Panther | 16 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Clare | 16 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Burchinal | 9 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Garner | 8 | 1993 | 1971 |
| Desmoines | 7 | 1974 | 1968 |
| Scranton | 7 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Washta | 7 | 2014 | 1967 |
| Gaza | 7 | 2023 | 1969 |
| West Liberty | 6 | 2019 | 1968 |
| Neola | 5 | 1988 | 1968 |
| Zearing | 5 | 1995 | 1968 |
| Brooklyn | 4 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Festina | 4 | 2019 | 1968 |
| College Spgs | 3 | 1991 | 1979 |
| Davis Corner | 3 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Tipton | 3 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Washington | 2 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Wales | 2 | 2016 | 1967 |
| Maquoketa | 2 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Alice | 2 | 1997 | 1968 |
Vesper Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.