Species · Washington · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Townsend's Solitaire Population Trend in Washington
Townsend's Solitaire in Washington has risen sharply: up 60% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
+60%Since 1971
49Routes In State
53Years
Notable Townsend's Solitaire Trends in Washington
long arc increasecomputed index
Townsend's Solitaire has risen sharply in Washington: up 60% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Townsend's Solitaire Population Forecast in Washington
If the recent trend holds, Townsend's Solitaire in Washington is projected to rise about 65% by 2029 — from 0.28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.47 (95% range 0.23–0.70). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±85.4%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+65%Change by 2029
0.47Projected 2029 index
0.23–0.7095% range
±85.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.45 | 0.21 | 0.68 |
| 2026 | 0.45 | 0.21 | 0.69 |
| 2027 | 0.46 | 0.22 | 0.69 |
| 2028 | 0.46 | 0.22 | 0.70 |
| 2029 | 0.47 | 0.23 | 0.70 |
Townsend's Solitaire Survey Routes in Washington
| Omak Creek | 7 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Keller | 3 | 2007 | 1968 |
| E. Mt. Adams | 3 | 2023 | 2016 |
| Cusick | 3 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Turnbull Nwr | 2 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Sullivan Lake 2 | 2 | 2018 | 2000 |
| Winthrop | 2 | 2022 | 1983 |
| Leavenworth | 2 | 2018 | 1984 |
| Wilbur | 2 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Carlton | 2 | 2019 | 1993 |
| Curlew | 2 | 2013 | 1999 |
| Sullivan Lk | 2 | 1999 | 1999 |
| Mt St Helens | 2 | 2008 | 2001 |
| Deer Park | 2 | 2015 | 1994 |
| Newhalem | 1 | 2019 | 1999 |
| Twisp | 1 | 2022 | 1984 |
| Cascade Riv | 1 | 2000 | 1988 |
| Chewelah | 1 | 2021 | 1979 |
| No Cascades | 1 | 2019 | 1988 |
| L Pend O Nwr | 1 | 2022 | 1996 |
| Ardenvoir | 1 | 1987 | 1972 |
| Reardan | 1 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Cougar | 1 | 1986 | 1986 |
| Rimrock | 1 | 2023 | 1968 |
| Asotin | 1 | 2024 | 2024 |
Townsend's Solitaire Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.