Species · Montana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Townsend's Solitaire Population Trend in Montana

Townsend's Solitaire in Montana has fallen sharply: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-53%Since 1970
41Routes In State
56Years

Notable Townsend's Solitaire Trends in Montana

long arc declinecomputed index

Townsend's Solitaire has fallen sharply in Montana: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Townsend's Solitaire Population Forecast in Montana

If the recent trend holds, Townsend's Solitaire in Montana is projected to rise about 261% by 2029 — from 0.20 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.72 (95% range 0.16–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±150.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+261%Change by 2029
0.72Projected 2029 index
0.161.395% range
±150.5%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.700.131.3
20260.700.141.3
20270.710.141.3
20280.720.151.3
20290.720.161.3

Townsend's Solitaire Survey Routes in Montana

Routes recording Townsend's Solitaire in Montana.
Skalkho-Rye820221999
Cramer Creek520191995
Skalkaho419981992
Greenough320041995
Polson320221994
Arlee320241968
Jordan320102002
Woodman320231968
Greenoagh 2320112005
Painted Rock320221993
Logan Pass220221980
Victor220221993
Threemile Wa220241993
Elevation Mt220241995
Clancy220232015
Maynard Coulee220242021
Brunzell Slough220222022
Wise River220221994
Noxon220232000
Libby Dam120241981
Kalispell120161973
Pryor Mtn.120242000
St Regis120191977
Clinton120241976
Elliston120161970

Townsend's Solitaire Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.