Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Townsend's Solitaire Population Trend in Oregon
Townsend's Solitaire in Oregon has surged: up 169% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+169%Since 1970
77Routes In State
56Years
Notable Townsend's Solitaire Trends in Oregon
long arc increasecomputed index
Townsend's Solitaire has surged in Oregon: up 169% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Townsend's Solitaire Population Forecast in Oregon
If the recent trend holds, Townsend's Solitaire in Oregon is projected to rise about 23% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 1.1–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+23%Change by 2029
1.6Projected 2029 index
1.1–2.195% range
±14.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.5 | 0.98 | 2.1 |
| 2026 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.1 |
| 2027 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 2.1 |
| 2028 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 2.1 |
| 2029 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 2.1 |
Townsend's Solitaire Survey Routes in Oregon
| Barnes Val | 22 | 1987 | 1984 |
| Silvies | 18 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Lakeview | 12 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Bly 2 | 11 | 2024 | 2007 |
| Paisley | 10 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Mount Vernon | 9 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Silver Creek | 9 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Donelly 2 | 9 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Sisters | 5 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Desolation | 5 | 2007 | 1999 |
| Dell Spring | 4 | 1990 | 1968 |
| Summit Pr | 4 | 2014 | 1984 |
| Lapham Res. | 4 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Badger Creek | 4 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Picture Flat | 4 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Chinchalo | 4 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Harlan 2 | 4 | 2019 | 2015 |
| Ochoco | 3 | 1982 | 1972 |
| Elk Lake | 3 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Bly | 3 | 1997 | 1973 |
| Hells Canyon | 3 | 2022 | 1992 |
| Cinderella | 3 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Flora | 2 | 2022 | 1986 |
| Deschutes | 2 | 1974 | 1974 |
| Wedderburn | 2 | 2018 | 2018 |
Townsend's Solitaire Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.