Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Townsend's Solitaire Population Trend in New Mexico
Townsend's Solitaire in New Mexico has surged: up 78% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
+78%Since 1973
24Routes In State
49Years
Notable Townsend's Solitaire Trends in New Mexico
long arc increasecomputed index
Townsend's Solitaire has surged in New Mexico: up 78% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
Townsend's Solitaire Population Forecast in New Mexico
If the recent trend holds, Townsend's Solitaire in New Mexico is projected to rise about 93% by 2029 — from 0.09 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.17 (95% range 0.00–0.36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+93%Change by 2029
0.17Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3695% range
±37.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.37 |
| 2026 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.37 |
| 2027 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.36 |
| 2028 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.36 |
| 2029 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.36 |
Townsend's Solitaire Survey Routes in New Mexico
| Bluewater Lake | 5 | 2019 | 1999 |
| Mt. Taylor 2 | 3 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Vallecitos | 3 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Farley | 2 | 1989 | 1987 |
| Claunch 2 | 2 | 2004 | 2002 |
| Nageesi | 1 | 2004 | 1990 |
| Cebolla | 1 | 2014 | 1977 |
| Ojo Sarco | 1 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Capulin | 1 | 1994 | 1994 |
| Pecos | 1 | 1995 | 1995 |
| Claunch | 1 | 1987 | 1980 |
| Horse Mtn | 1 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Carrizozo | 1 | 2008 | 2008 |
| Dulce | 1 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Angel Fire 2 | 1 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Cloudcroft | 1 | 2023 | 1979 |
| Stinking Lk. | 1 | 1997 | 1997 |
| Angel Fire | 1 | 2000 | 1993 |
| Mcgaffey | 1 | 2021 | 2011 |
| Mt. Taylor | 1 | 2012 | 1993 |
| Gallinas | 1 | 2021 | 1993 |
| Quemado | 1 | 1996 | 1995 |
| Reserve | 1 | 2022 | 1993 |
| Vicks Peak | 1 | 1996 | 1992 |
Townsend's Solitaire Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.