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Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Steller's Jay Population Trend in Alaska

All statesGeneralists

Steller's Jay in Alaska has fallen sharply: down 73% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

-73%Since 1973
33Routes In State
47Years

Notable Steller's Jay Trends in Alaska

long arc declinecomputed index

Steller's Jay has fallen sharply in Alaska: down 73% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

Steller's Jay Population Forecast in Alaska

If the recent trend holds, Steller's Jay in Alaska is projected to fall about 55% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.55 (95% range 0.00–2.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-55%Change by 2029
0.55Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.695% range
±61.4%Backtest error
19712029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.680.002.8
20260.650.002.7
20270.620.002.7
20280.580.002.7
20290.550.002.6

Steller's Jay Survey Routes in Alaska

Routes recording Steller's Jay in Alaska.
Zimovia Strt1620241988
Mitkof Isle1420241988
Harlequin L.920241993
Zarembo820241993
Sitka (Short)819921985
Petersburg819871987
Juneau Alt519861984
Craig520241983
Kuiu Island420102004
Ketchikan420221971
Beaver Creek419771977
Chichagof Is420241994
Hyder420061994
Alpenglow (Short)420031999
Hope420221997
Thorne Bay 2420242016
Whale Pass320241997
Cordova320241983
Wrangell (Short)319841984
Thorne Bay320121991
Yakutat320241993
Stikine River220241998
Juneau220241983
Haines220241972
Hoonah220241993

Steller's Jay Population Trend in Other States

arizonacaliforniacoloradoidahomontananevadanew-mexicooregontexasutahwashingtonwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.