Species · California · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Spotted Towhee Population Trend in California
Spotted Towhee in California has increased: up 26% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+26%Since 1970
220Routes In State
56Years
Notable Spotted Towhee Trends in California
No notable trend signals for Spotted Towhee in California. See the full index history below.
Spotted Towhee Population Forecast in California
If the recent trend holds, Spotted Towhee in California is projected to rise about 12% by 2029 — from 14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 12–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+12%Change by 2029
16Projected 2029 index
12–1995% range
±22.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15 | 12 | 19 |
| 2026 | 15 | 12 | 19 |
| 2027 | 15 | 12 | 19 |
| 2028 | 15 | 12 | 19 |
| 2029 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
Spotted Towhee Survey Routes in California
| Elsinore Mtn | 148 | 2024 | 1970 |
| S Catalina | 124 | 2022 | 1988 |
| Santa Cruz I | 122 | 1988 | 1988 |
| Mt Baldy | 90 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Cuyamaca Pk | 89 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Lake Cachuma | 61 | 2016 | 1972 |
| Jackson | 59 | 1992 | 1972 |
| Bartlett Sps | 57 | 2018 | 1972 |
| Poway | 52 | 1980 | 1973 |
| San Benito Mtn. | 47 | 2009 | 2003 |
| Coulterville | 47 | 2019 | 1997 |
| Jofegan 2 | 46 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Carmel Val | 45 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Stonyford | 45 | 2018 | 2015 |
| Hough Springs | 44 | 2007 | 1999 |
| Shasta Lake | 43 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Fairfax | 43 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Oak Grove | 42 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Fallsvale | 42 | 1981 | 1970 |
| Rumsey | 41 | 2008 | 1969 |
| Colma | 41 | 1972 | 1968 |
| Morro Bay | 41 | 2019 | 1973 |
| Mt Shasta | 39 | 2019 | 1972 |
| Hay Fork | 39 | 2017 | 2001 |
| Waterman Gap | 38 | 2024 | 1972 |
Spotted Towhee Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.