Species · Wyoming · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Sage Thrasher Population Trend in Wyoming
Sage Thrasher in Wyoming has surged: up 96% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+96%Since 1970
106Routes In State
56Years
Notable Sage Thrasher Trends in Wyoming
long arc increasecomputed index
Sage Thrasher has surged in Wyoming: up 96% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Sage Thrasher Population Forecast in Wyoming
If the recent trend holds, Sage Thrasher in Wyoming is projected to fall about 39% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.8 (95% range 0.00–22). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-39%Change by 2029
7.8Projected 2029 index
0.00–2295% range
±21.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8.2 | 0.00 | 22 |
| 2026 | 8.1 | 0.00 | 22 |
| 2027 | 8.0 | 0.00 | 22 |
| 2028 | 7.9 | 0.00 | 22 |
| 2029 | 7.8 | 0.00 | 22 |
Sage Thrasher Survey Routes in Wyoming
| Patrick Draw | 92 | 1980 | 1973 |
| Patrick Draw 2 | 85 | 1983 | 1981 |
| Mckinnon | 81 | 1986 | 1969 |
| Black Rock 2 | 78 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Bear Creek | 75 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Bairoil | 70 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Ryegrass | 62 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Daniel | 60 | 1988 | 1980 |
| Diamondville | 58 | 1982 | 1977 |
| Carter 2 | 58 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Baggs | 55 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Seedskadee 2 | 55 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Reliance | 51 | 2018 | 1977 |
| Patrick Draw 6 | 45 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Shirley | 40 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Rawlins 2 | 40 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Mtn View | 39 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Ervay | 33 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Lamont | 32 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Elk Horn 2 | 32 | 2024 | 2022 |
| Flamin Gorge | 32 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Wamsutter | 31 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Carter | 31 | 2016 | 2006 |
| Rock Springs 2 | 31 | 2024 | 2023 |
| Green River | 29 | 1984 | 1977 |
Sage Thrasher Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.