Species · Colorado · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Sage Thrasher Population Trend in Colorado
Sage Thrasher in Colorado has surged: up 798% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+798%Since 1970
66Routes In State
56Years
Notable Sage Thrasher Trends in Colorado
long arc increasecomputed index
Sage Thrasher has surged in Colorado: up 798% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Sage Thrasher Population Forecast in Colorado
If the recent trend holds, Sage Thrasher in Colorado is projected to fall about 13% by 2029 — from 4.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.9 (95% range 0.94–6.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-13%Change by 2029
3.9Projected 2029 index
0.94–6.995% range
±19.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.9 | 0.93 | 6.9 |
| 2026 | 3.9 | 0.93 | 6.9 |
| 2027 | 3.9 | 0.93 | 6.9 |
| 2028 | 3.9 | 0.94 | 6.9 |
| 2029 | 3.9 | 0.94 | 6.9 |
Sage Thrasher Survey Routes in Colorado
| Walden | 62 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Dinosaur | 48 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Browns Park | 46 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Maybell | 37 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Great Divide | 37 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Powderhorn | 32 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Antonito | 28 | 2004 | 1995 |
| Lay | 26 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Blanca | 24 | 1987 | 1979 |
| Basin | 22 | 2024 | 1995 |
| San Luis | 20 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Mesita | 19 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Mosca | 19 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Wilson Creek | 18 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Moffat | 13 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Doyleville | 13 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Cochetopa Pass | 13 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Yellowjacket Pass | 11 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Westcliffe | 10 | 2015 | 1999 |
| Yampa | 9 | 2023 | 1970 |
| Alamosa | 9 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Rosevale | 8 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Paonia | 7 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Lost Lake | 3 | 2023 | 1990 |
| De Beque | 3 | 2024 | 2024 |
Sage Thrasher Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.