Species · Idaho · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Sage Thrasher Population Trend in Idaho
Sage Thrasher in Idaho has surged: up 106% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
+106%Since 1971
40Routes In State
55Years
Notable Sage Thrasher Trends in Idaho
long arc increasecomputed index
Sage Thrasher has surged in Idaho: up 106% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Sage Thrasher Population Forecast in Idaho
If the recent trend holds, Sage Thrasher in Idaho is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 10 (95% range 4.6–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+2%Change by 2029
10Projected 2029 index
4.6–1595% range
±45.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9.9 | 4.5 | 15 |
| 2026 | 9.9 | 4.5 | 15 |
| 2027 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 15 |
| 2028 | 10 | 4.6 | 15 |
| 2029 | 10 | 4.6 | 15 |
Sage Thrasher Survey Routes in Idaho
| Dubois | 47 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Twin Buttes | 41 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Lost River | 38 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Kyle Canyon | 33 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Henry | 31 | 1983 | 1973 |
| Carey | 26 | 2018 | 1989 |
| Iron Springs | 24 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Tractor Flat | 20 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Blacks Creek | 16 | 2017 | 1969 |
| Circular Bu | 15 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Craters | 15 | 2018 | 1979 |
| Blackft Res | 13 | 2018 | 1984 |
| Triangle | 13 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Sawtooth Cty | 12 | 2014 | 1988 |
| Hot Spring | 10 | 2014 | 1988 |
| Almo | 8 | 2023 | 1988 |
| Leadore | 7 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Daniels Res | 5 | 2019 | 1988 |
| Mud Lake | 4 | 2015 | 2004 |
| Dougal Res | 4 | 2021 | 1988 |
| Baker | 3 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Crane Creek | 3 | 2019 | 1988 |
| Springfield | 2 | 2016 | 1977 |
| Picabo | 2 | 2021 | 1988 |
| Cape Horn | 1 | 1996 | 1996 |
Sage Thrasher Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.