Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Sage Thrasher Population Trend in New Mexico
Sage Thrasher in New Mexico has surged: up 158% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
+158%Since 1972
19Routes In State
48Years
Notable Sage Thrasher Trends in New Mexico
long arc increasecomputed index
Sage Thrasher has surged in New Mexico: up 158% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
Sage Thrasher Population Forecast in New Mexico
If the recent trend holds, Sage Thrasher in New Mexico is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.31 (95% range 0.00–0.80). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+9%Change by 2029
0.31Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.8095% range
±12.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| 2026 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| 2027 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| 2028 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| 2029 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.80 |
Sage Thrasher Survey Routes in New Mexico
| Torreon | 7 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Dulce | 4 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Stinking Lk. | 3 | 1999 | 1995 |
| La Plata | 3 | 1998 | 1990 |
| Roswell | 2 | 1972 | 1972 |
| Datil | 2 | 1995 | 1995 |
| Farmington | 1 | 1987 | 1975 |
| Nageesi | 1 | 2017 | 1968 |
| Cebolla | 1 | 1992 | 1977 |
| Farley | 1 | 2011 | 2011 |
| Crownpoint | 1 | 1979 | 1979 |
| Pecos | 1 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Fence Lake | 1 | 2021 | 1977 |
| Horse Spgs | 1 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Shiprock | 1 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Counselor | 1 | 2011 | 2011 |
| Mcgaffey | 1 | 1996 | 1996 |
| Sanostee | 1 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Aztec | 1 | 1989 | 1988 |
Sage Thrasher Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.