Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Orange-crowned Warbler Population Trend in Oregon
Orange-crowned Warbler in Oregon has fallen sharply: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-65%Since 1970
94Routes In State
56Years
Notable Orange-crowned Warbler Trends in Oregon
long arc declinecomputed index
Orange-crowned Warbler has fallen sharply in Oregon: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Orange-crowned Warbler Population Forecast in Oregon
If the recent trend holds, Orange-crowned Warbler in Oregon is projected to fall about 27% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.0 (95% range 0.00–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-27%Change by 2029
1.0Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.295% range
±27.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.2 | 0.06 | 2.4 |
| 2026 | 1.2 | 0.01 | 2.3 |
| 2027 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 2.3 |
| 2028 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2029 | 1.0 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
Orange-crowned Warbler Survey Routes in Oregon
| Hazel Camp | 27 | 2022 | 1975 |
| Coquille | 16 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Hauser | 14 | 1985 | 1970 |
| Elkton | 14 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Green | 12 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Fisher | 11 | 2010 | 1997 |
| Garfield | 10 | 2023 | 1975 |
| Lorane | 10 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Secret Val | 9 | 2022 | 1975 |
| Troy | 9 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Harlan 2 | 9 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Black Mtn. | 8 | 2004 | 1996 |
| Klickitat Mt | 8 | 1996 | 1993 |
| Desolation | 8 | 1999 | 1998 |
| Scappoose | 7 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Howard Mdws. | 6 | 2019 | 1992 |
| Waldport | 6 | 2001 | 1992 |
| Riley Peak | 6 | 2016 | 1994 |
| Timber | 5 | 2017 | 1968 |
| Wedderburn | 5 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Adair | 5 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Dayton | 5 | 2022 | 1975 |
| Svensen | 5 | 1992 | 1990 |
| Granite | 5 | 1989 | 1989 |
| Glasgow | 5 | 2024 | 1986 |
Orange-crowned Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.