BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mountain Bluebird Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesForest birds

Mountain Bluebird in New Mexico has declined: down 48% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-48%Since 1970
46Routes In State
56Years

Notable Mountain Bluebird Trends in New Mexico

No notable trend signals for Mountain Bluebird in New Mexico. See the full index history below.

Mountain Bluebird Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, Mountain Bluebird in New Mexico is projected to rise about 39% by 2029 — from 0.85 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.00–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±55.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+39%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.395% range
±55.8%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.30.003.4
20261.30.003.4
20271.20.003.3
20281.20.003.3
20291.20.003.3

Mountain Bluebird Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording Mountain Bluebird in New Mexico.
Pecos1720171973
Quemado1319971992
La Plata 21220162014
Mcgaffey1220231994
Capulin1119941993
Angel Fire1120021992
Angel Fire 21020242005
Dulce820242000
Datil719931993
Vicks Peak719991992
Torreon620241975
La Plata520131991
Aztec519891988
Counselor420241992
Stinking Lk.419991992
Mt. Taylor420121993
Gallinas420241992
Lake Valley419891989
Farmington319871975
Horse Mtn320221968
Salt Lake320011999
Claunch 2320242001
Cebolla220221973
Ojo Sarco220241968
Crownpoint219951971

Mountain Bluebird Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.