Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Lark Bunting Population Trend in North Dakota
Lark Bunting in North Dakota has collapsed: down 99% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-99%Since 1969
42Routes In State
57Years
Notable Lark Bunting Trends in North Dakota
long arc declinecomputed index
Lark Bunting has collapsed in North Dakota: down 99% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Lark Bunting Population Forecast in North Dakota
If the recent trend holds, Lark Bunting in North Dakota is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.78 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–57). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1725%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–5795% range
±1725%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57 |
Lark Bunting Survey Routes in North Dakota
| Ft Yates | 76 | 2004 | 1968 |
| Parshall | 49 | 2006 | 1982 |
| Sheyenne Lk | 39 | 1993 | 1980 |
| Lark | 32 | 1986 | 1968 |
| Montpelier | 28 | 1993 | 1990 |
| Buchanan | 25 | 1992 | 1967 |
| Lake George | 24 | 2006 | 1967 |
| Cedar Creek | 12 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Golva | 12 | 2023 | 1979 |
| Tobacco | 9 | 2018 | 1968 |
| Glen Ullin | 8 | 2022 | 1982 |
| Carson | 7 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Bentley | 7 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Zap | 4 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Sydney | 3 | 1983 | 1967 |
| Gorham | 3 | 2018 | 1968 |
| Danzig | 2 | 2006 | 1982 |
| Kempton | 2 | 1989 | 1987 |
| Dickinson | 2 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Powers Lake | 2 | 2022 | 1980 |
| Solen | 2 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Forman | 1 | 1988 | 1969 |
| Edgeley | 1 | 2014 | 1980 |
| Cooperstown | 1 | 1997 | 1981 |
| Wimbledon | 1 | 2000 | 1988 |
Lark Bunting Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.