Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Green-winged Teal Population Trend in North Dakota
Green-winged Teal in North Dakota has surged: up 160% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+160%Since 1969
44Routes In State
56Years
Notable Green-winged Teal Trends in North Dakota
long arc increasecomputed index
Green-winged Teal has surged in North Dakota: up 160% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Green-winged Teal Population Forecast in North Dakota
If the recent trend holds, Green-winged Teal in North Dakota is projected to fall about 35% by 2029 — from 1.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.28–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-35%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.28–1.995% range
±30.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.1 | 0.23 | 1.9 |
| 2026 | 1.1 | 0.24 | 1.9 |
| 2027 | 1.1 | 0.26 | 1.9 |
| 2028 | 1.1 | 0.27 | 1.9 |
| 2029 | 1.1 | 0.28 | 1.9 |
Green-winged Teal Survey Routes in North Dakota
| Danzig 2 | 8 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Forman | 7 | 2023 | 1969 |
| Buchanan | 6 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Wild Rose | 6 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Gorham | 5 | 1982 | 1982 |
| Lakota 2 | 5 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Walcott | 4 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Lakota | 4 | 2009 | 1968 |
| Ft Yates | 4 | 1972 | 1972 |
| Sydney | 3 | 1980 | 1979 |
| Webster | 3 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Niles | 3 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Regan | 3 | 2019 | 1982 |
| Denbigh | 3 | 2015 | 1982 |
| Douglas Crk | 3 | 2023 | 1982 |
| Edgeley | 2 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Kempton | 2 | 1997 | 1967 |
| Wimbledon | 2 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Horsehead Lk | 2 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Bowesmont | 2 | 2014 | 1970 |
| Nash | 2 | 2013 | 1999 |
| Rolla | 2 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Bowman | 2 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Bentley | 2 | 2013 | 2001 |
| Powers Lake | 2 | 2022 | 1980 |
Green-winged Teal Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.