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Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Golden-winged Warbler Population Trend in Minnesota

All statesForest birds

Golden-winged Warbler in Minnesota has surged: up 185% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+185%Since 1969
44Routes In State
57Years

Notable Golden-winged Warbler Trends in Minnesota

long arc increasecomputed index

Golden-winged Warbler has surged in Minnesota: up 185% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Golden-winged Warbler Population Forecast in Minnesota

If the recent trend holds, Golden-winged Warbler in Minnesota is projected to rise about 28% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.80–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+28%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
0.80–2.395% range
±14.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.50.722.2
20261.50.742.2
20271.50.762.2
20281.50.782.3
20291.50.802.3

Golden-winged Warbler Survey Routes in Minnesota

Routes recording Golden-winged Warbler in Minnesota.
Mcgregor1720241993
Nebish1420231982
Sherry Lake1320221973
Tamarac Nwr1020241991
Chisholm920242022
Wigwam Bay820231992
Cromwell620241967
Nett Lake520242013
Backus420241967
Cass Lake320161983
Cohasset320221974
Mahtowa320231993
Mille Lacs220241994
Hovland220031981
Debs220241969
Little Fork220241990
Brainerd220241993
Bigfork220241993
Glendale220231993
Sherburne Nr120241991
Minnetonka120071978
Princeton120172017
Pine River120211967
Edwards120061979
Evergreen120241970

Golden-winged Warbler Population Trend in Other States

connecticutgeorgiaillinoisindianakentuckymarylandmassachusettsmichigannew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiopennsylvaniatennesseevermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.