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Species · Tennessee · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Screech-Owl Population Trend in Tennessee

All statesGeneralists

Eastern Screech-Owl in Tennessee has edged up: up 21% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+21%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
30Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
32YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Screech-Owl Trends in TennesseeNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Screech-Owl in Tennessee. See the full index history below.

Eastern Screech-Owl Population Forecast in Tennessee

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Screech-Owl in Tennessee is projected to stay roughly flat through 2027, near 0.06 (95% range 0.01–0.11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2027TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.06Projected 2027 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.01–0.1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±27.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Screech-Owl in Tennessee is projected to stay roughly flat through 2027, near 0.06 (95% range 0.01–0.11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672027
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20230.060.010.11
20240.060.010.11
20250.060.010.11
20260.060.010.11
20270.060.010.11

Eastern Screech-Owl Survey Routes in Tennessee

Routes recording Eastern Screech-Owl in Tennessee.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Elk Valley519981970
Indian Mound219961976
Corryton Rd219771977
Signal Mtn120191991
Tiptonville120192019
Pawpaw119751972
Moscow120112002
Willis Sprng119961996
Mecca120112011
Whiteville120042004
Mansfield120062006
Pond Creek119841968
Collinwood120192009
Wrigley119891989
Campbellsville119931979
Lewis Forest119791979
White House120022002
Petersburg120041999
Peytonsville120082008
Tullahoma119931984
Silver Pt119691969
Glen119891987
Jasper119771977
Smokey Jct120221967
Lovell119781978

Eastern Screech-Owl Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.