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Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Screech-Owl Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesGeneralists

Eastern Screech-Owl in Arkansas has declined: down 37% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-37%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
20Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
25YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Screech-Owl Trends in ArkansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Screech-Owl in Arkansas. See the full index history below.

Eastern Screech-Owl Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Screech-Owl in Arkansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.04Projected 2028 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±28.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Screech-Owl in Arkansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20240.040.000.10
20250.040.000.10
20260.040.000.10
20270.040.000.10
20280.040.000.10

Eastern Screech-Owl Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Eastern Screech-Owl in Arkansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Eudora219781978
Waldron220172000
Lurton220052005
Ramsey119861978
Locust Bayou120101969
Ozark Nf120142014
Boston Mtn.119981998
Crowley'S Ridge120172017
Poyen120052005
Hollywood119901990
Blakely119991998
Harrisburg120192019
Maynard120042000
Zion120172017
Fulton120141967
Compton119861979
England120112011
Springhill120132013
Rudy120232023
Dry Fork120212006

Eastern Screech-Owl Population Trend in Other States

alabamacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.