BirdAnalyst
Species · Missouri · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Screech-Owl Population Trend in Missouri

All statesBirds of prey

Eastern Screech-Owl in Missouri has fallen sharply: down 70% on the route-weighted index since 1988.

-70%Since 1988TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
20Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
18YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Screech-Owl Trends in MissouriNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eastern Screech-Owl has fallen sharply in Missouri: down 70% on the route-weighted index since 1988.

Eastern Screech-Owl Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Screech-Owl in Missouri is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.04). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.01Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±35.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Screech-Owl in Missouri is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.04). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19762030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.010.000.05
20270.010.000.05
20280.010.000.04
20290.010.000.04
20300.010.000.04

Eastern Screech-Owl Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Eastern Screech-Owl in Missouri.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Stet319811981
Cameron119961996
Kahoka2120092009
Pineville120181998
Cascade119761976
Filley120191993
Danville120032003
Madison120081988
Rockingham119951988
Sticklervill120092009
West Plains120152015
Williamsvill119981998
Crane120252025
Barks119951995
Centerville119961995
Osage Beach119981998
Palace120232023
Union119911991
Graniteville120192014
Frankford120102010

Eastern Screech-Owl Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.