BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Screech-Owl Population Trend in Georgia

All statesGeneralists

Eastern Screech-Owl in Georgia has fallen sharply: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1974.

-57%Since 1974TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
44Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
36YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Screech-Owl Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eastern Screech-Owl has fallen sharply in Georgia: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1974.

Eastern Screech-Owl Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Screech-Owl in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±53.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.01Projected 2028 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±53.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Screech-Owl in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±53.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20240.020.000.12
20250.010.000.12
20260.010.000.12
20270.010.000.12
20280.010.000.12

Eastern Screech-Owl Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Eastern Screech-Owl in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Rentz420002000
Workmore419781978
Everett City219761976
Henderson219761976
Tarver220092009
Lacross219771976
Keller219761976
Shiloh220122012
Darien119991999
Stockton120022002
Fitzgerald119781968
Courthouse119991976
Cuthbert120022002
Wrightsville119821981
Hawkinsville120232023
Forsyth119741974
Crest119931976
Nashville119821982
Newton120092009
Hollonville119771975
Athens120231985
Oakman120092009
Cartersville120052004
Doles119891986
Siloam119671967

Eastern Screech-Owl Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.