BirdAnalyst
Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Screech-Owl Population Trend in Kentucky

All statesGeneralists

Eastern Screech-Owl in Kentucky has held roughly steady: up 0% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

+0%Since 1972TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
33Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
40YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Screech-Owl Trends in KentuckyNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Screech-Owl in Kentucky. See the full index history below.

Eastern Screech-Owl Population Forecast in Kentucky

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Screech-Owl in Kentucky is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±60.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.04Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±60.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Screech-Owl in Kentucky is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±60.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19702029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.040.000.14
20260.040.000.14
20270.040.000.14
20280.040.000.14
20290.040.000.14

Eastern Screech-Owl Survey Routes in Kentucky

Routes recording Eastern Screech-Owl in Kentucky.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Shiloh219901990
Hegira220011994
Kehoe219831981
Phelps219971979
Cumberlnd Gp120082003
Lovelacevile120051973
Canton119831983
Mammoth Cave120051998
Iron Bridge119781978
Sunnybrook119971974
Monticello119921992
Bardwell119881978
Pleasurevill120192008
Mckee120231974
Pine Ridge119761976
Carter119821982
Levee119791975
Kings Mtn120072007
Hustonville120182018
Mcbrayer119841974
Merrimac120242000
Johnsonville119951975
Drakesboro119901989
Boxville119761971
Dixie120122012

Eastern Screech-Owl Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaslouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.