Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Blue-headed Vireo Population Trend in Minnesota
Blue-headed Vireo in Minnesota has surged: up 11× on the route-weighted index since 1969.
11×Since 1969
40Routes In State
57Years
Notable Blue-headed Vireo Trends in Minnesota
long arc increasecomputed index
Blue-headed Vireo has surged in Minnesota: up 11× on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Blue-headed Vireo Population Forecast in Minnesota
If the recent trend holds, Blue-headed Vireo in Minnesota is projected to rise about 27% by 2029 — from 0.69 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.88 (95% range 0.61–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.6%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+27%Change by 2029
0.88Projected 2029 index
0.61–1.295% range
±22.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.83 | 0.56 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 0.84 | 0.57 | 1.1 |
| 2027 | 0.86 | 0.59 | 1.1 |
| 2028 | 0.87 | 0.60 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 0.88 | 0.61 | 1.2 |
Blue-headed Vireo Survey Routes in Minnesota
| Jordan | 9 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Mille Lacs | 6 | 1998 | 1994 |
| Sawbill Lndg | 6 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Sawbill Camp | 6 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Chisholm | 5 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Hart Lake | 4 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Sherry Lake | 4 | 2022 | 1970 |
| Lockport | 3 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Crane Lake | 3 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Babbitt | 3 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Floodwood | 2 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Debs | 2 | 2017 | 1972 |
| Waskish | 2 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Nett Lake | 2 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Bigfork | 2 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Hartland | 1 | 1997 | 1997 |
| Big Stone | 1 | 2004 | 2004 |
| Minnetonka | 1 | 2008 | 2008 |
| Cass Lake | 1 | 2016 | 1981 |
| Nebish | 1 | 2022 | 1982 |
| Osseo | 1 | 2002 | 2002 |
| St Stephen | 1 | 1995 | 1995 |
| Cromwell | 1 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Wigwam Bay | 1 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Backus | 1 | 1985 | 1982 |
Blue-headed Vireo Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.