Species · Pennsylvania · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-crowned Night Heron Population Trend in Pennsylvania
Black-crowned Night Heron in Pennsylvania has declined: down 46% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-46%Since 1970
24Routes In State
44Years
Notable Black-crowned Night Heron Trends in Pennsylvania
No notable trend signals for Black-crowned Night Heron in Pennsylvania. See the full index history below.
Black-crowned Night Heron Population Forecast in Pennsylvania
If the recent trend holds, Black-crowned Night Heron in Pennsylvania is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.07). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±128.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.0795% range
±128.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| 2026 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| 2027 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| 2028 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| 2029 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
Black-crowned Night Heron Survey Routes in Pennsylvania
| Ephrata | 5 | 1981 | 1981 |
| Quakertown | 4 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Williamsburg | 3 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Scheafferstn | 3 | 1975 | 1969 |
| Austinville | 2 | 1970 | 1970 |
| Schaefferstown 2 | 2 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Peters Mt | 2 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Sporting Hil | 2 | 1977 | 1977 |
| Brunnerville | 2 | 1988 | 1977 |
| Espyville | 1 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Ferris Crnrs | 1 | 1991 | 1991 |
| Leola | 1 | 2023 | 1999 |
| Pocono Summit | 1 | 1968 | 1968 |
| Landisburg | 1 | 1991 | 1978 |
| Elizabethvil | 1 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Mount Joy | 1 | 1996 | 1978 |
| Bendersville | 1 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Jacobus | 1 | 2015 | 1987 |
| Clear Spring | 1 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Mifflintown | 1 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Middletown | 1 | 2007 | 1976 |
| Mt Gretna | 1 | 1991 | 1970 |
| Pottstown | 1 | 1979 | 1979 |
| Labott | 1 | 1979 | 1970 |
Black-crowned Night Heron Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonrhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.