Species · Louisiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-crowned Night Heron Population Trend in Louisiana
Black-crowned Night Heron in Louisiana has risen sharply: up 72% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+72%Since 1970
49Routes In State
51Years
Notable Black-crowned Night Heron Trends in Louisiana
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-crowned Night Heron has risen sharply in Louisiana: up 72% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Black-crowned Night Heron Population Forecast in Louisiana
If the recent trend holds, Black-crowned Night Heron in Louisiana is projected to rise about 245% by 2029 — from 0.20 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.67 (95% range 0.03–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±130.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+245%Change by 2029
0.67Projected 2029 index
0.03–1.395% range
±130.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.64 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
| 2026 | 0.65 | 0.01 | 1.3 |
| 2027 | 0.66 | 0.02 | 1.3 |
| 2028 | 0.66 | 0.03 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 0.67 | 0.03 | 1.3 |
Black-crowned Night Heron Survey Routes in Louisiana
| River Road | 37 | 2010 | 2009 |
| Woodlawn | 10 | 2021 | 2008 |
| Berwick | 6 | 2018 | 1992 |
| Creole | 5 | 1987 | 1967 |
| Tensas Nwr | 4 | 2015 | 1991 |
| Kaplan | 4 | 2023 | 1998 |
| Atchafalaya | 3 | 2022 | 1992 |
| Plettenberg | 3 | 1968 | 1968 |
| Shaw | 3 | 2023 | 1990 |
| Maurice | 3 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Frogmore | 3 | 2023 | 1999 |
| Morgan City | 3 | 2014 | 2011 |
| Ltl Chenier | 3 | 2017 | 1995 |
| Morgan City | 2 | 1977 | 1976 |
| Gran Chenier | 2 | 1982 | 1971 |
| Baton Rouge | 2 | 2023 | 1996 |
| Fishville | 2 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Larose | 2 | 1990 | 1990 |
| Brousville | 2 | 1999 | 1999 |
| Richard | 2 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Ltl Chenier 2 | 2 | 2011 | 2010 |
| Sabine Nwr 2 | 2 | 2017 | 2009 |
| Natchez | 2 | 2004 | 2003 |
| Grand Isle | 2 | 2018 | 2017 |
| Ville Platte | 2 | 2019 | 1992 |
Black-crowned Night Heron Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.