Species · Alabama · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-crowned Night Heron Population Trend in Alabama
Black-crowned Night Heron in Alabama has surged: up 194% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
+194%Since 1972
17Routes In State
27Years
Notable Black-crowned Night Heron Trends in Alabama
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-crowned Night Heron has surged in Alabama: up 194% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
Black-crowned Night Heron Population Forecast in Alabama
If the recent trend holds, Black-crowned Night Heron in Alabama is projected to fall about 22% by 2028 — from 0.10 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.08 (95% range 0.01–0.14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-22%Change by 2028
0.08Projected 2028 index
0.01–0.1495% range
±45.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.14 |
| 2025 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.14 |
| 2026 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.14 |
| 2027 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.14 |
| 2028 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.14 |
Black-crowned Night Heron Survey Routes in Alabama
| Wheeler Dam | 7 | 2023 | 2011 |
| Valhermoso Spgs | 3 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Drummond | 2 | 2007 | 2007 |
| Seale | 2 | 2001 | 2001 |
| St Florian | 1 | 1967 | 1967 |
| Mclellan | 1 | 1989 | 1989 |
| Nixburg 2 | 1 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Pine Grove | 1 | 1999 | 1992 |
| Dauphin Is | 1 | 1976 | 1976 |
| Dauphin Is 2 | 1 | 2017 | 2001 |
| Greensport | 1 | 2005 | 2005 |
| Triana | 1 | 2004 | 2004 |
| Greensboro | 1 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Wallsboro | 1 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Warrior Std | 1 | 1985 | 1970 |
| Kymulga | 1 | 2004 | 2004 |
| Grangeburg | 1 | 1982 | 1972 |
Black-crowned Night Heron Population Trend in Other States
arizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.