Species · Louisiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Bachman's Sparrow Population Trend in Louisiana
Bachman's Sparrow in Louisiana has collapsed: down 95% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-95%Since 1969
30Routes In State
50Years
Notable Bachman's Sparrow Trends in Louisiana
long arc declinecomputed index
Bachman's Sparrow has collapsed in Louisiana: down 95% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Bachman's Sparrow Population Forecast in Louisiana
If the recent trend holds, Bachman's Sparrow in Louisiana is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.68). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1089.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.6895% range
±1089.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.68 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.68 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.68 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.68 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.68 |
Bachman's Sparrow Survey Routes in Louisiana
| Mer Rouge | 11 | 2006 | 1969 |
| Pearl River | 7 | 2008 | 1989 |
| Lacombe | 6 | 1983 | 1967 |
| De Quincy | 4 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Natchez | 4 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Derry | 3 | 1989 | 1970 |
| Fort Polk | 3 | 1975 | 1967 |
| Slidell | 3 | 1988 | 1984 |
| Derry 2 | 3 | 1997 | 1990 |
| Fishville | 2 | 2008 | 1967 |
| Hargis 2 | 2 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Clay | 2 | 1972 | 1968 |
| Greensburg | 2 | 1992 | 1988 |
| Roseland | 1 | 1990 | 1967 |
| Bickham | 1 | 1986 | 1986 |
| Fort Jessup | 1 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Ivan | 1 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Easton | 1 | 1981 | 1975 |
| De Ridder | 1 | 2014 | 1968 |
| Cypress | 1 | 1973 | 1971 |
| Chatham | 1 | 1973 | 1968 |
| Longstreet | 1 | 1984 | 1968 |
| Fillmore | 1 | 1969 | 1969 |
| Trout | 1 | 1997 | 1997 |
| Marion | 1 | 1995 | 1995 |
Bachman's Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.