Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Bachman's Sparrow Population Trend in Florida
Bachman's Sparrow in Florida has declined: down 48% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-48%Since 1968
78Routes In State
58Years
Notable Bachman's Sparrow Trends in Florida
No notable trend signals for Bachman's Sparrow in Florida. See the full index history below.
Bachman's Sparrow Population Forecast in Florida
If the recent trend holds, Bachman's Sparrow in Florida is projected to fall about 54% by 2029 — from 2.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.3 (95% range 0.00–2.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-54%Change by 2029
1.3Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.895% range
±39.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.4 | 0.00 | 3.0 |
| 2026 | 1.4 | 0.00 | 3.0 |
| 2027 | 1.3 | 0.00 | 2.9 |
| 2028 | 1.3 | 0.00 | 2.9 |
| 2029 | 1.3 | 0.00 | 2.8 |
Bachman's Sparrow Survey Routes in Florida
| Citrus | 51 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Blackwater | 28 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Croom | 17 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Kenansville | 15 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Bloxham | 14 | 2022 | 1987 |
| Belmont | 11 | 2005 | 1966 |
| Babcock Rnch | 11 | 1990 | 1988 |
| Olustee | 11 | 2022 | 1992 |
| Nixon | 9 | 1986 | 1985 |
| Bristol | 9 | 2023 | 1986 |
| Eglin A.F.B. | 8 | 2011 | 1997 |
| Oak Grove | 7 | 2011 | 1967 |
| Hilliard | 7 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Alligator Pt | 7 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Ocala | 7 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Dowling Park | 6 | 2023 | 1987 |
| Dupuis W.E.A | 6 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Alturas | 5 | 1986 | 1971 |
| Port St Joe | 4 | 2011 | 1967 |
| Belmore | 4 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Indiantown | 4 | 1987 | 1966 |
| Palmdale | 4 | 2009 | 1987 |
| Blountstown | 3 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Mabel | 3 | 1984 | 1983 |
| Miller Xrds | 3 | 2011 | 1988 |
Bachman's Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.