BirdAnalyst
Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Bachman's Sparrow Population Trend in North Carolina

All statesGeneralists

Bachman's Sparrow in North Carolina has held roughly steady: down 7% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-7%Since 1968
14Routes In State
39Years

Notable Bachman's Sparrow Trends in North Carolina

No notable trend signals for Bachman's Sparrow in North Carolina. See the full index history below.

Bachman's Sparrow Population Forecast in North Carolina

If the recent trend holds, Bachman's Sparrow in North Carolina is projected to fall about 28% by 2029 — from 0.13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.09 (95% range 0.01–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-28%Change by 2029
0.09Projected 2029 index
0.01–0.1795% range
±52.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.090.010.17
20260.090.010.17
20270.090.010.17
20280.090.010.17
20290.090.010.17

Bachman's Sparrow Survey Routes in North Carolina

Routes recording Bachman's Sparrow in North Carolina.
Broad Creek720241994
Raeford220191992
Cherryville219681968
Lake Surf220242006
Linville219811981
Shallotte119881977
Wards Corner119671966
Supply119971993
Sheep Ridge119971997
Jamesville119941994
Montague119921992
Hamlet119981998
Green Swamp120062002
Arcola119851972

Bachman's Sparrow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasfloridageorgiakentuckylouisianamississippimissouriohiooklahomasouth-carolinatennesseetexasvirginia

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.