Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Bachman's Sparrow Population Trend in Arkansas

Bachman's Sparrow in Arkansas has fallen sharply: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-56%Since 1969
19Routes In State
42Years

Notable Bachman's Sparrow Trends in Arkansas

long arc declinecomputed index

Bachman's Sparrow has fallen sharply in Arkansas: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Bachman's Sparrow Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Bachman's Sparrow in Arkansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2022, near 0.09 (95% range 0.00–0.21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±223.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2022
0.09Projected 2022 index
0.000.2195% range
±223.1%Backtest error
19672022
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20180.100.000.21
20190.100.000.21
20200.100.000.21
20210.090.000.21
20220.090.000.21

Bachman's Sparrow Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Bachman's Sparrow in Arkansas.
Locust Bayou220011967
Four Lakes220011994
Crows219841967
Blakely219861982
Rupert219671967
Princeton220112009
Old Milo119961974
Ramsey119811971
Stamps119881977
Hope119881988
Ashdown119951995
Magazine Mtn120172017
Poyen119901969
Hollywood120141972
Waldron120142002
Fulton119751968
Nance119981994
Poyen 2120092009
Dry Fork120032003

Bachman's Sparrow Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.