BirdAnalyst
Guild · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Arid-land Birds In New Mexico

All statesNew Mexico

10 species in this guild. As a group they are +11% since 1970.

Guild Signals

No notable trend signals for arid-land birds in New Mexico. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Arid-land birds in New Mexico is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 2.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 0.71–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-11%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
0.71–3.395% range
±18.1%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.10.743.4
20262.00.733.4
20272.00.723.4
20282.00.713.4
20292.00.713.3

Member Species In New Mexico

Arid-land birds species in New Mexico.
Cactus WrenTroglodytidae+9%
Black-throated SparrowPasserellidae+57%
Curve-billed ThrasherMimidae+70%
Greater RoadrunnerCuculidae+129%
PhainopeplaPtiliogonatidae+179%
VerdinRemizidae+203%
Black-tailed GnatcatcherPolioptilidae+215%
PyrrhuloxiaCardinalidae+307%
Lucy's WarblerParulidae+385%
Gambel's QuailOdontophoridae+545%

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.