BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Verdin Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesArid-land birds

Verdin in New Mexico has surged: up 203% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

+203%Since 1977
17Routes In State
46Years

Notable Verdin Trends in New Mexico

long arc increasecomputed index

Verdin has surged in New Mexico: up 203% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

Verdin Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, Verdin in New Mexico is projected to fall about 18% by 2029 — from 0.72 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.58 (95% range 0.10–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-18%Change by 2029
0.58Projected 2029 index
0.10–1.195% range
±26.6%Backtest error
19742029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.560.081.0
20260.570.081.1
20270.570.091.1
20280.580.091.1
20290.580.101.1

Verdin Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording Verdin in New Mexico.
Jornada1420241974
Laborcita 21220242024
Mesilla920001992
Laborcita420191992
Hatchet Peak420231992
San Antonio319771974
Engle219821979
Vicks Peak220221996
Columbus220241992
Gage220241984
Lake Valley220241982
San Simon120191997
Magdalena120222022
Red Rock120241992
Escondida120151998
Sunshine Wll120231992
Rodeo120161983

Verdin Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.