Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Cactus Wren Population Trend in New Mexico
Cactus Wren in New Mexico has held roughly steady: up 9% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+9%Since 1970
43Routes In State
56Years
Notable Cactus Wren Trends in New Mexico
No notable trend signals for Cactus Wren in New Mexico. See the full index history below.
Cactus Wren Population Forecast in New Mexico
If the recent trend holds, Cactus Wren in New Mexico is projected to rise about 14% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 0.72–4.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+14%Change by 2029
2.7Projected 2029 index
0.72–4.895% range
±19.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.7 | 0.71 | 4.7 |
| 2026 | 2.7 | 0.71 | 4.7 |
| 2027 | 2.7 | 0.71 | 4.7 |
| 2028 | 2.7 | 0.72 | 4.8 |
| 2029 | 2.7 | 0.72 | 4.8 |
Cactus Wren Survey Routes in New Mexico
| Hatchet Peak | 29 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Red Rock | 25 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Gage | 19 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Deming | 15 | 1975 | 1968 |
| Mesilla | 15 | 2000 | 1993 |
| Rodeo | 13 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Pastura | 12 | 2024 | 2000 |
| San Simon | 7 | 2018 | 1979 |
| Sunshine Wll | 7 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Maljamar | 5 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Magdalena | 5 | 2018 | 2005 |
| Cooley Lake | 4 | 2019 | 1992 |
| Corona East | 4 | 1995 | 1993 |
| Vicks Peak | 4 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Horse Mtn | 3 | 2023 | 1968 |
| Variadero | 3 | 2021 | 1994 |
| Queen | 3 | 2019 | 1993 |
| Sabinoso | 3 | 2021 | 1988 |
| Escondida | 3 | 2023 | 2008 |
| Correo | 2 | 1978 | 1978 |
| Roswell | 2 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Jornada | 2 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Gallo Arroyo | 2 | 2018 | 1996 |
| Sedan | 2 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Laborcita | 2 | 2018 | 2018 |
Cactus Wren Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.