Species · South Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Marsh Wren Population Trend in South Carolina
Marsh Wren in South Carolina has collapsed: down 95% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-95%Since 1968
3Routes In State
19Years
Notable Marsh Wren Trends in South Carolina
long arc declinecomputed index
Marsh Wren has collapsed in South Carolina: down 95% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Marsh Wren Population Forecast in South Carolina
If the recent trend holds, Marsh Wren in South Carolina is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.96). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±657.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.9695% range
±657.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.96 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.96 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.96 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.96 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.96 |
Marsh Wren Survey Routes in South Carolina
| Johns Isle | 2 | 1976 | 1966 |
| Kiawah Island | 2 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Jamestown | 1 | 1970 | 1970 |
Marsh Wren Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaslouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.