Species · Connecticut · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Marsh Wren Population Trend in Connecticut
Marsh Wren in Connecticut has surged: up 445% on the route-weighted index since 1977.
+445%Since 1977
7Routes In State
34Years
Notable Marsh Wren Trends in Connecticut
long arc increasecomputed index
Marsh Wren has surged in Connecticut: up 444% on the route-weighted index since 1977.
Marsh Wren Population Forecast in Connecticut
If the recent trend holds, Marsh Wren in Connecticut is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 0.78 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.68 (95% range 0.00–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-12%Change by 2029
0.68Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.695% range
±69.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2027 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2028 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
Marsh Wren Survey Routes in Connecticut
| Westbrook | 5 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Warren 2 | 2 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Mystic | 1 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Buckingham | 1 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Woodstock | 1 | 1995 | 1986 |
| Danbury | 1 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Mid Haddam | 1 | 1980 | 1980 |
Marsh Wren Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.