Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Marsh Wren Population Trend in North Dakota
Marsh Wren in North Dakota has surged: up 924% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+924%Since 1969
47Routes In State
57Years
Notable Marsh Wren Trends in North Dakota
long arc increasecomputed index
Marsh Wren has surged in North Dakota: up 924% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Marsh Wren Population Forecast in North Dakota
If the recent trend holds, Marsh Wren in North Dakota is projected to fall about 14% by 2029 — from 22 in 2024 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 14–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-14%Change by 2029
19Projected 2029 index
14–2495% range
±11.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | 12 | 23 |
| 2026 | 18 | 13 | 23 |
| 2027 | 18 | 13 | 24 |
| 2028 | 19 | 13 | 24 |
| 2029 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
Marsh Wren Survey Routes in North Dakota
| Horsehead Lk | 216 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Buchanan | 73 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Sheyenne Lk | 72 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Forman | 54 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Lakota | 48 | 2009 | 1968 |
| Danzig 2 | 29 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Danzig | 27 | 2013 | 1982 |
| Wimbledon | 26 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Edgeley | 24 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Montpelier | 22 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Cooperstown | 19 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Regan | 18 | 2022 | 1969 |
| Lakota 2 | 18 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Braddock | 17 | 2022 | 1988 |
| Powers Lake | 15 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Niles | 14 | 2023 | 1989 |
| Loraine | 9 | 2019 | 1986 |
| Turtle Mtns | 8 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Parshall | 6 | 2013 | 1982 |
| Lake George | 5 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Dunn Center | 5 | 2016 | 1968 |
| Rolla | 4 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Carpio | 4 | 2023 | 1973 |
| Wild Rose | 4 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Nash | 3 | 1999 | 1981 |
Marsh Wren Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.