Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Marsh Wren Population Trend in Minnesota
Marsh Wren in Minnesota has surged: up 204% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+204%Since 1969
66Routes In State
57Years
Notable Marsh Wren Trends in Minnesota
long arc increasecomputed index
Marsh Wren has surged in Minnesota: up 204% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Marsh Wren Population Forecast in Minnesota
If the recent trend holds, Marsh Wren in Minnesota is projected to rise about 26% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.1 (95% range 1.1–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+26%Change by 2029
2.1Projected 2029 index
1.1–3.095% range
±16.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.9 |
| 2026 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.9 |
| 2027 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 3.0 |
| 2028 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 3.0 |
| 2029 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3.0 |
Marsh Wren Survey Routes in Minnesota
| Sherburne Nr | 25 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Big Stone | 20 | 2012 | 1995 |
| Little Fork | 12 | 1990 | 1990 |
| Cohasset | 11 | 1990 | 1990 |
| Tracy | 11 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Chokio | 10 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Ashby | 9 | 2021 | 1997 |
| Maynard | 7 | 2015 | 1986 |
| Chokio North | 6 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Osseo | 5 | 2004 | 1967 |
| Knapp | 5 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Backus | 5 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Lake Bronson | 5 | 2011 | 1998 |
| Fairmont | 5 | 2023 | 2003 |
| Franklin | 5 | 2024 | 2005 |
| New London | 5 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Minnetonka | 4 | 2022 | 1969 |
| Appleton | 4 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Worthington | 4 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Beltrami | 3 | 2006 | 1976 |
| Glenwood | 3 | 2018 | 1993 |
| Chandler | 2 | 2023 | 2022 |
| Lakeville | 2 | 1999 | 1976 |
| Evergreen | 2 | 2018 | 1967 |
| Glyndon | 2 | 2024 | 1980 |
Marsh Wren Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.